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Analysis: New hope in 'Death Triangle' - 2

By PAMELA HESS, UPI Pentagon Correspondent

MAHMUDIYAH, Iraq, March 13 (UPI) -- Second of two parts

Gen. Ali Jassim Hamad al-Fereej, the commander of the Iraqi 4th Brigade, 6th Division believes 2007 is going to be Iraq's year of decision.

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"My personal opinion this year we will decide. Either it is gonna get a lot better, or it's gonna get worse, we might have this civil war," he said. "I believe it's going to get a lot better especially now with the security we have."

Still, his men are not adequately armed for the fight. The insurgents and terrorists he is battling -- Shiite militia, al Qaida in Iraq and Sunni rejectionists -- have long-range mortars that hold his troops at risk when they are on base or at a security post.

"We need mortars, rocket propelled grenades. The terrorists, they have mortars. The soldiers don't have the same range. We would like to have more advanced weapons. More tanks -- we don't have enough tanks," he said.

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The enemy can attack at will, often putting mortars and rockets on timers and leaving before they launch. They also launch them from populated areas, preventing retaliatory strikes. Enemy 120 mm mortars are launched from as much as six kilometers away. Gen. al-Fereej is promised 60 mm mortars with a range of 1,500 meters, he said.

Mortars are tricky weapons for a protective force like Gen. al-Fereej's in an urban battle; they kill indiscriminately. But Gen. al-Fereej believes if the enemy knows he has the range to hit them and a counter battery radar -- that traces the trajectory of incoming rounds before they land - it will deter the attacks.

Gen. al-Fereej is a Shiite but his wife is a Sunni. Their four children are named after key figures in each sect. Despite this, he confides he's never actually been to prayers at the mosque.

"I'm not too strong in the religion. I believe if you do good things, that's enough. If you pray and then do bad things..." he said, and lifts his eye brows.

It is religious fanatics, he believes, who have attacked his town.

"We cannot be like Iran or Saudi Arabia. We are different," he said.

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One of Saddam Hussein's legacies in Iraq is its history of non-secularism, a tradition at odds with Iraq's neighbors. He did not want anyone - not sheiks, not imams - to rival his power so he clamped down on religion. Islam was practiced, but in mosques that he paid for, under clerics he oversaw.

"We are going to be united, I am sure. What's happening now we want the American people to know we are having a conflict between the politics and the sectarian," said Mayor Moyad al Amary. "This situation is only temporary."

He says it is not about religion but about power, with self-interested groups jockeying for influence or control.

"Every group is trying to control. That's why we have more political problems here," he said. "The sectarian problems are everywhere, not only here. It's all over the world. Even in other religions. We don't have a problem (with other sects). It's all politics."

Mayor al Amary is, says Morschauser, the consummate politician.

Al Amary needs to be. Sitting on the couch to the right of his desk is a dour sub-sheik, the least cheerful person in the room on a day of celebration. His brother was the previous mayor but is now doing time in Abu Ghraib for his involvement with an illegal militia.

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He has been the mayor for more than a year; there have been four failed assassination attempts against him. He chalks his survival up to "destiny."

He is now heading the process of reconciliation, trying to lure Sunni's back to the city

"It wasn't the case before. But yesterday we had a huge sheiks' meeting of all the Sunni and Shi'a sheiks, 174 of them from all over the Mahmudiyah area," said Morschauser. "There was a lot of talk if 'trying' to pull back together, with tribal leaders taking the forefront."

Al Amary and the Shi'ite sheiks are proposing they all walk from a checkpoint outside of town into the city to show that the Sunnis are welcome. That Gen. al-Fereej recently captured five of Moqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army militiamen with bomb making materials and weapons in two different operations suggests he is serious about providing security for all, not just the Shi'ites.

"We're talking about the next few weeks. We're hopeful that (the march) will happen. Maybe that's a first step, I don't know," Morschauser said.

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