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UPI/CVoter state polls: Donald Trump gains ground, but Hillary Clinton would win Electoral College

By UPI Staff
UPI/CVoter state polls: Donald Trump gains ground, but Hillary Clinton would win Electoral College
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton would win the Electoral College if the election were held today. Republican Donald Trump, though, is gaining ground in all but 11 states according to the latest UPI/CVoter state polling. UPI File Photos

UPI/CVoter state poll data released Monday indicates most states shifted toward Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in the past week, though Democrat Hillary Clinton would still win the Electoral College if the election were held today.

According to the 50-plus-1 state-by-state tracking data, Clinton would win the election in a landslide with 347 electoral votes to Trump's 191 -- the same as the past two week's polling results. It requires 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.

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But Clinton's dominance over Trump has declined in the past week, with a majority of states shifting preference toward the Republican candidate, much as the national data has. Nationally, Clinton holds a 3.07 percent lead over Trump, down from 4.69 percent one week earlier.

Polling for all states except 11 -- including Washington, D.C., -- indicated an increase for Trump from Oct. 16 to Monday.

RELATED UPI/CVoter poll: Most minorities favor Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump

Like last week's data, Clinton holds a lead in all but one state classified as "swing," which means a candidate leads by less than 5 percentage points. The biggest battleground shifts toward Trump came in Minnesota and Nevada, though Clinton still leads there by 3.5 percent and 2.9 percent respectively. The Democrat saw her biggest battleground gain in North Carolina, where she now leads by 1.9 percent.

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Among the remaining swing states -- including those no longer within a 5 percent lead, but still historically considered battlegrounds -- Clinton leads in Colorado (4.8 percent), Florida (2.4 percent), Iowa (0.8 percent), Michigan (6.3 percent), New Hampshire (3.7 percent), Ohio (3.3 percent), Pennsylvania (3.1 percent), Virginia (3.6 percent) and Wisconsin (4.7 percent). Trump leads in Georgia by 2.4 percent.

The poll, conducted between Oct. 16 and 23, tracks 250 likely voters in each state every week, leading to a state representative sample size of 500 voters, leading to about 12,500 interviews every week.

RELATED UPI/CVoter poll: Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump narrows to 3.07 points

Because the poll is conducted online and individuals self-select to participate, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The poll has a credibility interval of 3 percentage points.

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