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Poll: Braley pulls into late tie with Ernst in Iowa, voter turnout will decide race

Pollsters say turnout will decide Iowa Senate election.

By Matt Bradwell
Bruce Braley. UPI/Kevin Dietsch
1 of 2 | Bruce Braley. UPI/Kevin Dietsch | License Photo

DES MOINES, Iowa, Nov. 3 (UPI) -- With less than a day before polls open in Iowa, the race between Democrat Bruce Braley and Republican Joni Ernst has narrowed to a dead heat.

Days after a Des Moines Register poll showed Ernst leading by 7 points, prompting the paper to declare "This race looks decided," a Qunnipiac University poll illustrated the opposite.

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"That said, there are enormous resources being applied to change all that," noted the Register on Saturday.

In just 48 hours, "all that" appears to have changed. Quinnipiac's poll notes the candidates are tied, and voters view both almost equally unfavorably.

"Iowa's U.S. Senate race is a dead heat," Quinnipiac pollster Peter A. Brown said when the poll was released Monday morning.

"The candidate who best gets his or her folks to the polls is going to win."

Qunnipiac University did not disclose the number of people in its in poll.

Of the seven most recent polls, Ernst has a 1.4 point advantage over Braley. Braley currently trails Ernst in early voting 51 percent to 44.

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