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Report: Bay of Pigs was predicted to fail

WASHINGTON, Aug. 11 (UPI) -- Newly discovered unclassified CIA documents show the agency predicted the 1961 U.S. invasion of Cuba to topple Fidel Castro would fail.

The 300-page document from Nov. 15, 1960, said the Bay of Pigs assault would not have the backing of "internal unrest earlier believed possible," and the concept of securing a beach with an airstrip "is also now seen to be unachievable."

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The Miami Herald said it is unclear whether CIA Director Allen Dulles passed the assessment along three days later, at President John F. Kennedy's post-election national security briefing in Palm Beach, Fla., or whether changes were made as a result of the finding.

On April 17, 1961, Castro's forces defeated the CIA-trained and backed brigade in less than 72 hours. About 114 men were killed, and more than 1,100 forces were captured and held until the United States traded $53 million in food and medicine for their freedom.

The report was discovered in June in a box marked "Miscellaneous" at the National Archives, the newspaper said.

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