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Oil prices relatively flat, awaiting next move

A U.S. federal reserve chief, meanwhile, is signaling things may not be as rosy as they seem.

By Daniel J. Graeber
Crude oil prices tick lower, but could rebound given the fluidity surrounding the latest rhetoric building up behind an OPEC production consideration. Fil ephoto by Monika Graff/UPI
Crude oil prices tick lower, but could rebound given the fluidity surrounding the latest rhetoric building up behind an OPEC production consideration. Fil ephoto by Monika Graff/UPI | License Photo

NEW YORK, Oct. 11 (UPI) -- Anticipation building ahead of key market indicators this week weighed against mixed oil production signals to give oil yet another shot at a rally Tuesday.

Comments from Russian President Vladimir Putin that his country was on board with a proposal from the Organization of Petroleum Countries to freeze, or even cut, crude oil production sent crude oil prices soaring to yearly highs on Monday. By Tuesday, the sentiment turned around after some Russian oil companies said they were either reluctant to support Putin's rhetoric or moving for higher production from some Middle East operations and put negative pressure on crude oil prices in overnight trading.

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In terms of actual market dynamics, the International Energy Agency said global crude oil supply increased by 600,000 barrels per day in September. Demand, meanwhile, is expected to grow by 1.2 million bpd this year and in 2017.

"Growth continues to slow, dropping from a five-year high in third quarter of 2015 to a four-year low in third quarter of this year due to vanishing OECD growth and a marked deceleration in China," its monthly market report said.

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Crude oil prices pulled back from steep overnight losses to post modest gains at the start of U.S. trading. The price for Brent crude oil was down 0.2 percent to $53.03 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark price for oil, was down 0.1 percent from the previous close to open at $51.29 per barrel.

The price movement may reflect anticipation building ahead of data released late Tuesday from the American Petroleum Institute and Wednesday from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on supply and demand. The IEA's report Tuesday, and past information from API and EIA, shows a narrowing gap between supply and demand.

Low demand and high oil supplies helped pull crude oil prices from $100 per barrel in 2014. A report from a global energy summit in Istanbul said global energy demand growth is set to fall.

On the economic front, Charles Evans, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said in a speech Tuesday in Australia the U.S. labor force is not as strong as it could be and there's a slack in employment that's not necessarily showing up in weekly data.

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He added that he's not yet seen "clear and convincing evidence that inflation is headed up to 2 percent," a benchmark envisioned by U.S. policymakers.

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