UPI/CVoter International election day projections, 11/1.
A CATI SURVEY OF AMERICAN GENERAL POPULATION (18+ ADULTS)
Each week rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 1000 registered voters. Results for this release are based on seven day rolling sample size of registered voters for general questions and LV (Likely Voters) for candidate support question. The candidate support figures are result of the question "Who will you vote for if the presidential election were held today?" and "How likely are you to vote? Would you say “Yes, for sure” or “May be, but I am unsure at the moment” or you are sure not to vote at all". These questions were asked to all registered voters and analysed after screening only for the respondents who confirmed that they will vote or showed likeliness to vote in the coming elections. Those respondents who are confirmed to vote but undecided on which candidate to support are analyzed as undecided. Data is weighted to known census profile and margin of error is +/- 3.5 for the total sample at the 95% confidence level and margin of error for likely voters is +/-4.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Data weighted to the known demographic profile. The tables may add up to 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by computer.