
STATE COLLEGE, Pa., March 10 (UPI) -- The coming North Atlantic hurricane season will bring above-average threats to the U.S. coastline, AccuWeather.com's chief hurricane forecaster said Wednesday.
In his preliminary forecast, Joe Bastardi predicted 16-18 storms in the six-month season that runs June through November. Of those, he expects 15 to affect the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.
An average season sees 11 named storms, of which two or three impact the U.S. coast.
The early forecast anticipates seven tropical storm landfalls, five hurricanes, two or three of which becoming major U.S. landfalls.
"This year has the chance to be an extreme season," Bastardi said. "Certainly much more like 2008 than 2009 as far as the overall threat to the United States' East and Gulf coasts."
Among the factors Bastardi used in his modeling were warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures from the Caribbean to the African coast and higher humidity, two key factors in tropical weather development. Additionally, Atlantic waters north of the main corridor are cooler than usual, another typical element in active hurricane seasons, the report said.
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