WASHINGTON, March 19 -- The North Atlantic Treaty Organization was on the road to irrelevance. The most successful military alliance in history has lacked a real enemy since the Soviet Union disintegrated a quarter of a century ago. After a dozen years of war in Afghanistan, NATO’s role is coming to an ignominious end. Because of Afghan President Hamid Karzai’s refusal to sign a Basic Security Agreement (BSA), NATO is now forced to plan for the withdrawal of all of its military forces by the end of 2014. Without substantial coalition forces and, as important, the money and aid Afghanistan receives because of that presence, the Afghan government will be unable to prevent the Taliban, local tribes, warlords and gangs from wrestling power and control away from Kabul. Violence, chaos and instability loom as the legacies of NATO’s engagement. All but a few NATO states are slashing defense spending and all are looking inwards making domestic needs top political priorities. The next NATO heads of state and government summit slated to meet in Wales this September is likely to turn out as a wake and not a welcomed and long overdue rejuvenation of the alliance. As a precursor of summit bad news, the new, ultra-modern headquarters building in Brussels is already 250 million Euros over budget and two years behind schedule. The Obama administration’s pivot to Asia, civil war in Syria, and grave uncertainty in Ukraine have conspired to put NATO and the summit on a distant back burner. Indeed, Obama’s focus in Europe is and should be on negotiating the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). Unfortunately, Obama’s own party in Congress is proving to be a major obstacle for passage despite Joe Biden’s strong advocacy piece in last week’s Financial Times for these trade agreements. But wait. As Dick Cheney famously promised in the 2000 election, “help is on the way.” Riding to NATO’s rescue is, incredibly, Russian President Vladimir Putin. Putin’s heavy handed tactics in Ukraine and the Crimea will backfire. While the crisis is far from settled, even if Putin does not attempt to intervene more forcefully in Ukraine, he has set off alarm bells in Europe and NATO. A 1994 agreement between Russia, the U.S. and U.K. guaranteed Ukraine’s sovereignty in return for disposing of the nuclear missiles stationed there during the Cold War. Unlike Georgia where President Mikheil Saakashvili took the Russian bait and attacked first giving Moscow reason to retaliate, no such situation exists in Ukraine. It is true that the country's eastern half is ethnically Russian. But unless Ukraine agrees to ceding any territory, there are no legal grounds for partition.