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VP choices yield favorable bump data say

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) answers questions at a town hall meeting on July 31, 2008 in Racine, Wisconsin. New polls show McCain is closing in on his Democratic rival Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) in Ohio and Florida. (UPI Photo/Brian Kersey)
1 of 4 | Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) answers questions at a town hall meeting on July 31, 2008 in Racine, Wisconsin. New polls show McCain is closing in on his Democratic rival Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) in Ohio and Florida. (UPI Photo/Brian Kersey) | License Photo

PRINCETON, N.J., Aug. 11 (UPI) -- Naming a running mate should provide Barack Obama and John McCain a slight uptick in support a review of Gallup Poll data indicates.

Since 1996, Gallup has conducted polls during the time a major-party candidate announced his running mate before the party convention takes place, Gallup said Monday.

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When non-incumbent candidates chose a running mate before the convention opens it showed an average 5-percentage point increase in support.

So far in this campaign, McCain, the likely Republican presidential candidate and Obama, McCain's presumptive Democratic challenger, have been fairly close -- within 4 percentage points, the Princeton, N.J., polling agency said. The historic information suggests a vice presidential announcement could stir the pot a bit.

Election trends suggest that recent non-incumbent presidential candidates received a bump ranging from 3 percentage points to 9 percentage points. The so-called vice presidential bounce precedes the usual bump candidates get immediately after party conventions.

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