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Election predicted in unusual ways

Sept. 24, 2012 at 2:02 PM   |   Comments

WASHINGTON, Sept. 24 (UPI) -- U.S. Halloween mask sales thus far predict President Barack Obama will win a second term, while a pair of Colorado professors picked challenger Mitt Romney.

Halloween mask sales, which have correctly predicted the outcomes of the last four presidential elections, indicate the Democratic president will have another four years in office after sales of his Halloween mask outpaced sales of masks in the likeness of the Republican challenger by 30 percent on BuyCostumes.com, ABC News reported Monday.

Meanwhile, University of Colorado Professor Michael Berry and a colleague said their complex political science model, which takes state and national unemployment rates and changes in per capita income into account, said their model has correctly predicted the outcomes of the past 8 elections and they now believe Romney will take the White House in November's election.

"Certainly, most of the polling data projects Obama is likely to win, but we don't account for any polling or public opinion," Berry said. "I would still bet that Romney wins."

However, online gambling numbers, which have predicted the correct outcomes of the past two elections, overwhelmingly predict an Obama victory, with website Intrade giving a 70 percent likelihood of a second term for Obama.

© 2012 United Press International, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Any reproduction, republication, redistribution and/or modification of any UPI content is expressly prohibited without UPI's prior written consent.
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