Outside View: BMD Tensions -- Part 2

MOSCOW, April 21 (UPI) -- Standard Missile-3 missiles deployed on U.S. Navy cruisers and destroyers and equipped with the Aegis information and control system are the second echelon of ballistic missile defense.

Ground-based Mid-course Interceptors are the first echelon. The third echelon, detection satellites, supports the operations of the first two. Moreover, in the next 10-20 years, the United States may deploy combat missile interceptors in space, and develop serial pilot-less aircraft and laser-equipped interceptors, which would patrol the skies near potential enemy territory, and destroy missiles during their launch.

Despite the high technical parameters of this hardware, the planned system of U.S. missile defense will be unable to protect U.S. territory from a massive strike by ballistic missiles equipped with multiple independently targeted re-entry vehicles. To resolve this task, the United States will use other branches of its armed forces.

The main condition for protecting U.S. territory against a massive nuclear strike is the destruction of the maximum number of carriers and warheads before the start. In this context, in the event of an armed conflict, emphasis will be put on the active use of general purpose forces -- the air force, the navy and special units of all branches of the armed forces -- against strategic enemy nuclear potential at an early stage.

Apart from missile bases, submarines and bombers, early warning radars will be considered priority targets. Their destruction will make a pre-emptive strike much more effective -- most of the missiles that could leave their silos as soon as the launch of missiles from U.S. territory is detected would be destroyed.

In this case, retaliation will be carried out by a small number of missiles -- several dozen -- which the U.S. missile defense system would be able to intercept. Single warheads that would reach their targets would not be able to inflict unacceptable damage. This is the main task of the missile defense system -- to prevent "unacceptable damage" and "assured destruction." These two factors were the main deterrent to a new world war for several decades -- since the Soviet Union developed intercontinental ballistic missiles.

If a potential U.S. enemy wants to ward off such a scenario, its only option would be to launch a pre-emptive strike itself, while destroying the missile defense systems. Thus, missile defense can take the world back to the 1960s, when war was seen as an exchange of major nuclear strikes.

Moreover, other nuclear powers are bound to take part in such a conflict. Today's warheads are much more precise and have a smaller yield than in the 1960s, and therefore humans could survive such an exchange, but living under the permanent threat of nuclear war is very uncomfortable.

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(Ilya Kramnik is a military commentator for RIA Novosti. This article is reprinted by permission of RIA Novosti. The opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti.)

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(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)